Physicians Insurance Company of Wisconsin, Inc. and Subsidiaries - Page 10




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          conducted a yearend audit of petitioner’s 1993 and 1994 financial           
          statements.                                                                 
                    1993 Audit                                                        
               In connection with the Coopers yearend 1993 audit of                   
          petitioner’s financial statements, Coopers actuary Chris Nelson             
          (Nelson) reviewed a draft of Tillinghast’s 1993 report,                     
          Tillinghast’s 1993 rate review, and certain underlying exposure             
          data from petitioner.  On the basis of his review, Nelson                   
          concluded that Tillinghast’s actuarial methodologies and                    
          assumptions in estimating petitioner’s unpaid losses were                   
          “appropriate and reasonable.”  In addition, Nelson reviewed                 
          petitioner’s carried unpaid losses for 1993.  Nelson noted that             
          these carried unpaid losses were 9.9 percent above the                      
          Tillinghast point estimate.  Nelson concluded that this deviation           
          was acceptable from an actuarial perspective, indicating that a             
          reserve range of minus 5 percent to plus 10 percent was common              
          for Tillinghast analyses.                                                   
               After consulting with Nelson, Coopers’s nonactuarial                   
          auditors concluded that petitioner’s unpaid losses on its 1993              
          annual statement exceeded the range suggested under Coopers’s in-           
          house guidelines.  These guidelines specified a mechanical                  
          formula which the Coopers auditors used to test whether                     
          petitioner’s recorded reserves were realistic and meaningful.               
          After further assessment, however, the Coopers auditors                     






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