- 87 - b. No Reasonable Possibility for Profit Existed Petitioners assert that RD Leasing had a reasonable opportunity to earn a profit from the transaction based upon the forecasts of residual values made by the appraisers in 1993. Petitioners insist that the forecasts of residual values of the equipment were realistic. For the reasons set forth hereinafter, we conclude that the sale-leaseback transaction involved herein had no realistic potential to earn a meaningful profit. In order to hold that tax avoidance was not the sole motivation for the transaction, we must determine that a profit was reasonably likely. Estate of Thomas v. Commissioner, 84 T.C. 412, 440 n.52 (1985). On an objective basis, we conclude that RD Leasing had no reasonable prospect for pretax profit. The key to profitability rested in achieving the projected residual values for the equipment on the early or final termination Dates.20 The record reveals that forecasting residual values is inherently difficult in light of the fact that a forecaster’s predictions rely upon future economic events and trends. 20 The estimated yields from the perspective of RD Leasing was as follows: Early Final Termination Termination September projections 6.60% 14.00% December projections 6.70 14.10 Mr. Fleming’s analysis 5.74 12.95Page: Previous 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 Next
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