Andantech L.L.C., Wells Fargo Equipment Finance, Inc. (f.k.a. Norwest Equipment Finance, Inc.), Tax Matters Partner, and Wells Fargo & Co., A Partner Other Than the Tax Matters Partner, et al. - Page 106




                                        - 87 -                                          
                               b.   No Reasonable Possibility for Profit                
                               Existed                                                  
               Petitioners assert that RD Leasing had a reasonable                      
          opportunity to earn a profit from the transaction based upon the              
          forecasts of residual values made by the appraisers in 1993.                  
          Petitioners insist that the forecasts of residual values of the               
          equipment were realistic.  For the reasons set forth hereinafter,             
          we conclude that the sale-leaseback transaction involved herein had           
          no realistic potential to earn a meaningful profit.                           
               In order to hold that tax avoidance was not the sole                     
          motivation for the transaction, we must determine that a profit was           
          reasonably likely.  Estate of Thomas v. Commissioner, 84 T.C. 412,            
          440 n.52 (1985).  On an objective basis, we conclude that RD                  
          Leasing had no reasonable prospect for pretax profit.                         
               The key to profitability rested in achieving the projected               
          residual values for the equipment on the early or final termination           
          Dates.20  The record reveals that forecasting residual values is              
          inherently difficult in light of the fact that a forecaster’s                 
          predictions rely upon future economic events and trends.                      


               20   The estimated yields from the perspective of RD Leasing             
          was as follows:                                                               
                                         Early          Final                           
                                         Termination         Termination                
                                                                                       
          September projections            6.60%               14.00%                   
          December projections             6.70                14.10                    
          Mr. Fleming’s analysis           5.74                12.95                    





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