Ex Parte Pickar - Page 9

                Appeal No. 2006-3012                                                                              
                Application No. 09/808,878                                                                        

                       In summary, after considering all of the evidence of record, we find                       
                that the weight of the evidence does not support Dr. Lobo’s assertion that                        
                0.625 mg/day of CEE was considered the minimum daily dosage required to                           
                control hot flushes at the time the claimed method was made.                                      
                       Dr. Lobo also states that the “dosage of 2.5 mg of MPA has been                            
                recognized as the minimum amount needed to oppose 0.625 mg CEE and                                
                protect the endometrium.”  ¶ 2.  No evidence is cited to support this                             
                assertion but regardless of its accuracy, Dr. Lobo’s declaration does not                         
                address what dosages of MPA would have been expected to be necessary to                           
                oppose CEE at the lower dosages suggested by Plunkett – 0.3 to 0.6 mg/day.                        
                       Appellant also asserts that he has provided evidence of unexpected                         
                results to rebut any prima facie case of obviousness.  (Br. 9-12; Reply Br.                       
                5-8.)  Appellant points to Dr. Lobo’s discussion of the “Women’s Health,                          
                Osteoporosis, Progestin, Estrogen (H.O.P.E.)” study and the results of that                       
                study that are reproduced in the instant specification.  In his first declaration,                
                Dr. Lobo states:                                                                                  
                       I and others expected that the study would show that there                                 
                       would  be  a  dose  response  such  that  the  lower  combination                          
                       doses of CEE and MPA would have some effect in reducing the                                
                       number and severity of hot flushes compared with the placebo,                              
                       but far less of an effect than the standard dose of CEE 0.625                              
                       [mg] plus 2.5 mg MPA.  In fact, I and others were interested in                            
                       seeing the results of the various lower doses, but doubted the                             
                       study was worth the economic effort.                                                       
                (First Lobo Declaration, ¶ 12.)  Dr. Lobo states that “[i]t was very surprising                   
                and unexpected” that a daily dosage of 1.5 mg MPA combined with 0.3 or                            



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