Utah Medical Insurance Association - Page 9

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          occurrence basis years.  UDI approved petitioner's request.                 
          However, UDI required petitioner to begin filing quarterly                  
          statements and to provide UDI with loss and investment                      
          information.  UDI, in effect, began to oversee petitioner's                 
          operations.                                                                 
               2.   Tillinghast                                                       
               In 1984, petitioner hired Tillinghast to determine whether             
          petitioner had sufficient assets and surplus to meet its                    
          liabilities.  Tillinghast concluded that petitioner did not.                
               3.   Tillinghast's Loss Reserve Reviews and Rate Reviews               
               Tillinghast began preparing loss reserve reviews6 and rate             
          reviews7 for petitioner at the end of 1985.                                 
               Sometimes actuaries estimate ultimate losses as a range with           
          high and low bounds (a "bounded range") instead of as a single              
          number (a "point estimate").  Actuarial Standard of Practice No.            
          9 states:  "The uncertainty inherent in the estimation of                   
          required provisions for unpaid losses or loss adjustment expenses           
          implies that a range of reserves can be actuarially sound."                 
          Tillinghast estimated petitioner's ultimate losses within a                 
          bounded range.                                                              
               Beginning in 1989, James Hurley (Hurley), an actuary                   

               6 Loss reserve reviews project an insurer's ultimate losses            
          based on its loss data.                                                     
               7 Tillinghast analyzed petitioner's rates (i.e., premiums),            
          to help petitioner decide how much to charge its insureds in the            
          upcoming year.                                                              




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