Utah Medical Insurance Association - Page 12

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          ranges were relatively large because, in Hurley's opinion,                  
          medical malpractice losses are difficult to project accurately.             
               Tillinghast projected that, as of December 31, 1991,                   
          petitioner had ultimate losses ranging from $88,483,000 to                  
          $99,645,000 (before discounting), and that reserves ranging from            
          $45,426,000 to $57,289,000 (before discounting) for coverage                
          years 1978 to 1991 would be reasonable.  As of December 31, 1992,           
          Tillinghast projected that petitioner had ultimate losses ranging           
          from $100,101,000 to $112,204,000 (before discounting), and that            
          reserves ranging from $49,066,000 to $61,948,000 (before                    
          discounting) for the coverage years 1978 to 1992 would be                   
          reasonable.  Tillinghast separated the projected ultimate losses            
          by coverage year.                                                           
               Joseph Perry, petitioner's vice president of finance/chief             
          financial officer, subtracted from these ultimate loss estimates            
          petitioner's paid losses as of December 31, 1991, and December              
          31, 1992, to determine a range of unpaid losses for all of the              
          coverage years included in the 1991 and 1992 unpaid loss                    
          reserves.  Petitioner reported on its annual statements that it             
          had undiscounted unpaid losses of $56,847,261 for 1991 and                  
          $61,971,100 for 1992.  Petitioner had a conservative reserve                
          philosophy to ensure that it could pay future losses.  Petitioner           
          selected reserves below the low end of Tillinghast's range for              
          1986 and at the high end of Tillinghast's ranges for 1987 to                
          1992.                                                                       




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