Physicians Insurance Company of Wisconsin, Inc. and Subsidiaries - Page 36




                                       - 36 -                                         
          Commissioner, 88 T.C. at 1059.                                              
               In sum, petitioner has failed to establish that its                    
          selection of unpaid loss estimates almost 10 percent greater than           
          its actuary’s point estimates was based on reasonable methods or            
          assumptions.  Cf. Hospital Corp. of Am. v. Commissioner, T.C.               
          Memo. 1997-482 (insurance company failed to establish the                   
          reasonableness of unpaid losses where it relied upon the                    
          extrapolation of a recommended range from fixed dollar values               
          contained in its actuary’s reserve analysis reports).                       
          Accordingly, petitioner has failed to establish that its                    
          estimates of unpaid losses, insofar as they include the almost              
          10-percent add-ons to Tillinghast’s point estimates, are fair and           
          reasonable within the meaning of the applicable regulations.                
          Determination of Fair and Reasonable Estimates of Unpaid Losses             
               Respondent’s experts’ estimates of petitioner’s unpaid                 
          losses differ in amount not only from Tillinghast’s point                   
          estimates but also (by a smaller margin) from respondent’s                  
          determinations in the statutory notice.23  Contending broadly               





               23 The unpaid loss estimates selected by Tillinghast,                  
          respondent (in the statutory notice), and respondent’s experts              
          were as follows:                                                            
                         Tillinghast    Respondent’s        Respondent’s              
               Year   Point Estimates   Determinations      Experts                   
              1993      $74,027,009    $46,508,000      $50,000,000                  
               1994      77,029,796     45,549,000       39,000,000                   




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