Ex Parte Maury et al - Page 10

                Appeal 2007-1621                                                                             
                Application 10/721,839                                                                       

                1846.  Like the situation in Merck, the artisan of ordinary skill need only                  
                make two choices from a list explicitly set forth in the Lehrer reference.  In               
                our view, the Examiner properly concluded that one of ordinary skill would                   
                have considered claim 1 obvious over Lehrer.                                                 
                      Appellants argue that inhibition of HIV is unpredictable, and that                     
                “[w]here unpredictability undercuts any likelihood of success, as is the case                
                here, there is no prima facie [case of obviousness]” (Br. 10).  Appellants                   
                urge that the unpredictability in the field is demonstrated by Lehrer’s                      
                disclosure that most of the mono-tyrosine substituted retrocyclin variants                   
                were either inactive or only modestly active against HIV-1 strain IIIB, and                  
                that variants RC-106, RC-107, and RC-108 “were not functional against the                    
                JR-CSF strain, either” (Reply Br. 7).                                                        
                      We do not find these arguments persuasive.  While Lehrer discloses                     
                that certain tyrosine-substituted peptides were less effective in inhibiting                 
                HIV-1 infection, none of Lehrer’s 46 variations on the retrocyclin consensus                 
                sequence has a tyrosine (Y) substitution (see id. at 7-8).  Thus, no member of               
                Lehrer’s genus has the amino acid substitution urged by Appellants to                        
                undermine the predictability of Lehrer’s disclosure.                                         
                      Moreover, it is well settled that “[o]bviousness does not require                      
                absolute predictability of success. . . . [A]ll that is required is a reasonable             
                expectation of success.”  In re O’Farrell, 853 F.2d 894, 903-04, 7 USPQ2d                    
                1673, 1681 (Fed. Cir. 1988).  In the instant case, claim 1 only requires the                 
                peptide to “reduc[e] the infectivity” of any enveloped virus.  Claim 1                       
                therefore encompasses even very small levels of infectivity reduction.                       



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