Maschmeyer's Nursery Inc. - Page 13

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          over which agricultural use of the land is expected to continue             
          would probably be much less than Cobb estimates.  Moreover, the             
          value of the land for residential use would not decline with                
          moderate amounts of topsoil loss, because less topsoil is needed            
          for this purpose.  Maschmeyer himself, through careful and                  
          well-informed calculations submitted for the record, estimated              
          that $9,125 per year would compensate him for soil depletion.               
          This represents only 1.05 percent of the fair market value                  
          determined by Cobb.                                                         
               More importantly, Cobb’s analysis fails to take into account           
          changes in land value.  If one measured the return from corporate           
          stock solely in terms of dividend yield, one would not be able to           
          explain why so many investors hold stock as an alternative to               
          corporate bonds offering much higher coupon yields.  The                    
          investor’s total return from land is the sum of the periodic                
          income plus capital appreciation minus any depreciation in the              
          land owing to soil depletion.  By omitting an appreciation                  
          factor, Cobb’s equation overstates the amount of rent that an               
          investor would require.                                                     
               Omission of an appreciation factor is also inconsistent with           
          characterization of agriculture as only an interim use, a major             
          premise of Cobb’s fair-market value appraisal.  If the return               
          from the agricultural use in the form of annual rent were                   
          sufficient to satisfy the investor, then agriculture would be the           
          highest and best use of the land.  The phenomenon of speculative            




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Last modified: May 25, 2011