Sharon Lee Bartlett, F.K.A. Heitzman - Page 10

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          beginning aggregate “at risk exposure” of the limited partners              
          for 1979 was $2,821,500.  Their 1979 ending aggregate “at risk              
          exposure” was $33,500, after deduction of the 1979 tax loss shown           
          for each limited partner.4  The Memorandum estimated aggregate              
          tax savings to the limited partners of $1,394,000 for 1979 based            
          upon a marginal tax rate for individuals of 50 percent.  The                
          Memorandum reported that the “tax loss” to be generated in 1979             
          was leveraged 5.09 times “with respect to the Initial Cash                  
          Contribution”.                                                              
               Each economic projection expressly relied upon the stated              
          assumption that 89 percent of a total of 55 wells drilled between           
          1980 and 1983 would produce oil in the quantities assumed in that           
          projection.  The cover letter to a geological report, discussed             
          below, and included as an exhibit to the Memorandum, stated that            
          “Realistically a 90% success ratio should be anticipated.”                  
          Projection A assumed total production of 757,500 barrels of oil             
          from 1980 to 1994 at declining rates of production of 5, 4, and 3           
          barrels per day per well in the first 3 years and 3 barrels per             
          day thereafter.5  Projection B assumed production rates of half             
          those of projection A.                                                      


               4 Mr. Heitzman’s claimed deduction of $110,170 on the 1979             
          return was derived from his share of the total losses (7 of 175             
          units), $2,788,000 less the remaining “at risk exposure”,                   
          $33,500.                                                                    
               5 Compare with the Coburn report, infra p. 12, which makes a           
          somewhat different assumption:  an initial production rate of 5             
          barrels per day, declining to 3 barrels per day within 24 months.           


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