Estate of Richie C. Heck, Deceased , Gary Heck, Special Administrator - Page 31




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          approach will eventually lead to negative net asset value,                  
          Dr. Spiro to the fact that Dr. Bajaj’s projected increases in               
          capital expenditures more than double his projected sales                   
          increases over the 1995-1999 period.                                        
               Korbel’s financial statements for the 1985-1994 period show            
          that, whereas depreciation increased annually, capital                      
          expenditures (“property, plant and equipment purchased”) have               
          fluctuated significantly over that same period, the low of                  
          $2,315,000 occurring in 1990 and the high of $6,142,000, in 1991.           
          Average annual capital expenditures for the 1990-1994 period were           
          $3,817,000.  Therefore, we consider Dr. Spiro’s projection of $4            
          million in annual capital expenditures to be reasonable, and we             
          adopt it.  Conversely, we find nothing in Korbel’s financial                
          history to support Dr. Bajaj’s projection of ever-increasing                
          annual capital expenditures.                                                
                    3.  Rate of Return                                                
               The DCF method involves the computation of the present value           
          of expected future cashflows.  The present value of a cashflow              
          equals the cashflow multiplied by a discount factor (less than              
          1).  The discount factor is usually expressed as the reciprocal             
          of 1 plus a rate of return:  Discount factor (for one period) =             
          1/(1 + r).8   Drs. Bajaj and Spiro agree that the rate of return            


               8  See Brealey & Myers, Principles of Corporate Finance 16             
          (6th ed. 2000) (“The rate of return r is the reward that                    
                                                             (continued...)           





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