-228- credit risk from the counterparty. On the other hand, Parsons stated, the dealer may have to make a downward credit adjustment if the swap becomes significantly off-market to the dealer’s advantage, regardless of the relative credit ratings of the dealer and its counterparty. Duffie disagreed with the related analysis of petitioner’s experts that rested on the premise that only the credit quality of the dealer’s counterparty should be considered when making a credit-risk adjustment, and that the relative quality of the dealer itself is irrelevant. Duffie stated: consider the case of interest-rate swaps, with two possible dealers, Gilt and Silver, and an outside counterparty, Z, that wishes to pay the floating rate. We will ignore all adjustments except for credit. Suppose the outside counterparty X is rated AA, that Gilt is rated AA, and that Silver is rated BBB. Suppose Z calls Gilt and asks for the fixed rate R to be paid by Gilt that would be set so that there is no initial exchange of cash, meaning that the fair market value of this swap between Z and Gilt is zero. Now, suppose Z calls the lower-quality dealer Silver in order to obtain an interest rate swap under which Z pays floating and Silver pays the same fixed rate R. They negotiate a price P for this swap (under the same standard of willing buyer and seller used in the definition of “fair market value”) to be paid by Silver to Z. The price is greater than zero because Z was willing to receive a price of zero under the same contractual terms when trading with the higher-quality dealer Gilt. He would be unwilling to trade at a price of zero with Silver, but rather would demand some higher price as compensation for bearing the comparably higher credit risk of Silver. This means an upward adjustment in the market value of the swap to Silver, relative to the price of zero obtained by Gilt. This refutes the claim that Silver’s own credit qualityPage: Previous 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 Next
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