Bank One Corporation - Page 160

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          mean exposure rather than the 80-percent level.79  Duffie and               
          Parsons, in particular, stated that FNBC should have used for               
          valuation purposes the mean exposure level generated by its Monte           
          Carlo simulation model, rather than the maximum exposure at an              
          80-percent confidence interval.  Whereas the G-30 report endorsed           
          a higher confidence level for risk management purposes, the G-30            
          report endorsed a mean exposure measure for valuing credit risk.            
                    9.  Mirror and Partially Offsetting Swaps                         
               FNBC claimed credit adjustments on mirror swaps.  This                 
          overstated the credit adjustment and understated fair market                
          value.                                                                      
               FNBC claimed credit adjustments on partially offsetting                
          swaps.  This overstated the credit adjustment and understated               
          fair market value.                                                          
                    10.  Per-Swap Adjustments                                         
               FNBC computed its credit (and administrative) adjustments              
          for groups of swaps.  O’Brien opined that “Under FNBC’s                     
          procedure, swaps having shorter-than-average lives, relative to             
          others originated in the same quarter, will have credit deferral            
          income amortized over a longer term than the life of the swap,              
          and conversely for swaps having longer-than-average lives.”                 



          79 FNBC’s 80-percent confidence level for a swap’s exposure                 
          at some future time is much larger than the mean exposure for               
          that same time.                                                             




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Last modified: May 25, 2011