- 15 - discounts. The record does not adequately reflect the management disclosures that led to Mr. Oliver’s upward adjustments of the companies’ reported book values, with a directly corresponding upward effect on his price-to-NAV discount computations.9 Moreover, Mr. Oliver has failed adequately to explain the apparent volatility in his recommended price-to-NAV discounts over less than 3 months (decreasing from 29.3 percent on April 19, 1996, to 20.3 percent on July 2, 1996).10 It seems most likely that the volatility results from the small size of his sample and the inclusion of entities that are insufficiently comparable to the partnership.11 Moreover, we are unconvinced of the appropriateness of the upward adjustments Mr. Oliver made to this volatile guideline company data to account for factors specific to the partnership. 9 Some of these upward adjustments are very large. For instance, in determining a $25,928,000 NAV for Shopco as of July 2, 1996, Mr. Oliver started with a reported book value of $4,862,000 and adjusted it upward by $21,066,000. 10 When questioned about this volatility at trial, Mr. Oliver merely observed that the discount rates changed “because the stock prices of these guideline companies are changing.” 11 If we exclude from Mr. Oliver’s guideline group the four real estate companies that we have found to be dissimilar to the partnership (admittedly thereby exacerbating the problem of the smallness of his sample), the median price-to-NAV relationship for the remaining three REITs is, as of Apr. 19, 1996, a 5.3- percent discount, and as of July 2, 1996, a .5-percent premium. As we shall presently see, these data are generally in line with the price-to-NAV data indicated by Dr. Shapiro’s REITs guideline group.Page: Previous 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Next
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