Estate of Josephine T. Thompson, Deceased, Carl T. Holst-Knudsen and the Bank of New York, Executors - Page 35

                                       - 35 -                                         
          cashflow), respondent’s expert applied a discount rate to                   
          calculate a present value, as of May 2, 1998, of the estimated              
          1998-2002 net cashflow.                                                     
               Respondent’s expert’s discount rate for each year was based            
          on his estimate of TPC’s cost of equity, calculated under the               
          capital asset pricing model, and involved the following elements:           

               (1) A risk-free rate of return of 5.933 percent, equal to              
                    the U.S. government long-term bond rate as of May 2,              
                    1998;                                                             
               (2) A market-risk premium that varied to reflect the risk              
                    of investing in a private company and the perceived               
                    risks of investing in stocks rather than in long-term             
                    government bonds; and                                             
               (3) An estimate of unlevered beta for TPC of 0.60 to                   
                    reflect the volatility or level of risk associated with           
                    TPC’s stock as compared to the volatility of the stock            
                    market as a whole (where the market has an overall beta           
                    of 1).11                                                          

               In his original report, respondent’s expert also calculated            
          and added to his present value calculations of TPC’s estimated              
          net cashflow for 1998-2002 a $153,174,000 estimate of TPC’s                 
          residual value, based on a discounted “terminal value” for TPC.             
          In the words of respondent’s expert, this terminal value                    

               11  The discount rate which respondent’s expert applied to             
          TPC’s estimated net cashflow for each year is set forth below:              
                                   Year      Percentage                               
                                   1998      10.482                                   
                                   1999      9.855                                    
                                   2000      9.497                                    
                                   2001      9.246                                    
                                   2002      9.145                                    





Page:  Previous  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  Next

Last modified: May 25, 2011