Physicians Insurance Company of Wisconsin, Inc. and Subsidiaries - Page 6




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          Petitioner’s Actuaries                                                      
               Petitioner employed no in-house actuary.  Instead, beginning           
          in 1986 and continuing through the years in issue, petitioner               
          retained the firm of Tillinghast-Towers Perrin (Tillinghast) to             
          perform all its actuarial services, including estimation of its             
          unpaid losses as part of its reserve reports.                               
               In the course of preparing its various actuarial reports and           
          analyses for petitioner, Tillinghast representatives met with               
          petitioner’s management and exchanged information periodically.             
               In analyzing petitioner’s unpaid losses, Tillinghast’s                 
          techniques and methods changed over time as petitioner’s business           
          grew and matured.  For the years 1987 through 1989, petitioner              
          lacked historical claims data, and so Tillinghast relied almost             
          exclusively on industry data to estimate petitioner’s unpaid                
          losses.  Thereafter, it gradually increased its reliance on                 
          petitioner’s data.  For the years in issue, Tillinghast relied              
          heavily on petitioner’s data.                                               
               In 1991, Tillinghast began to use five specific actuarial              
          methods (the five methods) in estimating petitioner’s unpaid                
          losses.4  It relied upon the five methods consistently throughout           
          the years in issue.                                                         


               4 The five specific actuarial methods (the five methods)               
          Tillinghast used were:  (1) The Bornhuetter-Ferguson method                 
          applied to incurred losses; (2) the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method             
          applied to paid losses; (3) the development method applied to               
          incurred losses; (4) the development method applied to paid                 
          losses; and (5) rating model development.                                   




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Last modified: May 25, 2011