Estate of Algerine Allen Smith - Page 25




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          recoupment of prejudgment and postjudgment interest.  Mr. Glasser           
          felt that there was not more than a 50-percent probability that a           
          jury would find in favor of Exxon on the liability issue.                   
          Assuming Exxon did obtain a favorable ruling on the liability               
          issue, Mr. Glasser felt that there was not more than a 50-percent           
          probability that Exxon would be awarded decedent’s pro rata                 
          portion, $1,032,315, of the base amount paid by Exxon to the DOE            
          judgment.  Finally, Mr. Glasser felt that there was not more than           
          a 30-percent probability that Exxon would recover the $1,450,404            
          of prejudgment and postjudgment interest that it paid to the DOE            
          attributable to decedent’s pro rata share.  Applying all these              
          probabilities, Mr. Glasser ultimately determined that the value             
          of the Exxon claim as of decedent’s date of death was                       
          $475,639.35.  Mr. Glasser provided the following chart                      
          summarizing his calculations:                                               
          Probability of affirmative                                                  
          findings on liability:                  50%                                 
          Probability of assessment of                                                
          damages on $1,032,315 base                                                  
          paid by Exxon:                          50%, or     $516,157.50             
                                        Less 50% liability                            
                                        discount =          $258,078.75               
          Probability of assessment of                                                
          pre- and post-judgment interest                                             
          of $1,450,404:                          30%, or     $435,121.20             
                                            Less 50% liability                       
                                        discount =          $217,560.60               
                                             Total              $475,639.35           





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Last modified: May 25, 2011