Capital Blue Cross and Subsidiaries - Page 47

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          information had the same average monthly premiums regardless of             
          the type of benefit or whether the contracts constituted                    
          community or experience-rated contracts.                                    
               Valuing approximately 40 percent of all of petitioner’s                
          group contracts (9,288 divided by 23,526 equals 40 percent) using           
          an average premium rate reflects the lack of contract-specific              
          information available to petitioner’s expert and the aggregate              
          valuation methodology used by petitioner’s expert.                          
               Petitioner’s expert also assumed that for each of                      
          petitioner’s health insurance group contracts in effect on                  
          January 1, 1987, the average number and the makeup of the                   
          individual members covered under each group contract would remain           
          constant throughout the 20-year useful life period that he used             
          for each contract.  His assumption, however, was incorrect.  For            
          example, after downsizing its business, one of petitioner’s                 
          groups that was enrolled with petitioner in 1989 with 200 members           
          later reenrolled with petitioner in 1992 with a group size of               
          just 32 members.                                                            
               The assumption regarding group size significantly affected             
          petitioner’s expert’s valuation of the group contracts.  As noted           
          by one of respondent’s experts, a mere 1-percent decline in the             
          total member enrollment relating to petitioner’s group contracts            
          would reduce the present value of all 23,526 group contracts by             
          approximately 15 percent.                                                   
               With regard specifically to petitioner’s community-rated               
          group contracts, petitioner’s expert valued these contracts using           





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