- 21 -
Dr. Alexander concluded that the death rate for the
persons on the client list was 5.32 percent. It appears
that Dr. Alexander reached this result by dividing the
expected annual client deaths per year, 8.512, by 160
rather than by 164. Dr. Alexander's computation is as
follows:
Expected Mortality
Cohort 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
(life expectancy)
Clients 2 11 23 23 9 7 59 21 9 0
Deaths .04 .26 .61 .71 .33 .31 3.37 1.68 1.2 .00
Annual deaths 8.512
Death rate 5.32
Relocation Rate: Dr. Alexander computed a relocation
factor based upon unpublished data from the Internal
Revenue Service entitled "Yearly County to County Migration
Flows" that shows the number of "out migrants" from
Oklahoma County for the 10-year period, 1980 to 1990. He
found that the average number of persons leaving Oklahoma
County during that period was 5.35 percent of the average
population. He rounded this percentage to 5.4 percent.
One assumption underlying Dr. Alexander's analysis is
that all of the listed clients are located in Oklahoma
County. We cannot verify that assumption from the record
Page: Previous 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 NextLast modified: May 25, 2011